Independent research on Haiti. Reader supported.

InterAmitica · Security

Armed groups in Haiti

A record of the armed groups operating across the country: who leads them, where they hold ground, how they pay for themselves, and how confident we are in each answer. It is kept current, sourced line by line, and honest about what we do not know.

Loading the record.

How we work

The scale of it

Four numbers worth holding in mind

These are widely reported figures on how far armed-group control now reaches. They are ranges because sources differ. Read them as orders of magnitude, not precise counts, and read them alongside the group-by-group record below, which carries its own sourcing.

The groups

Who is operating, and where

One card is one group or coalition. Where a line reads "Not established", it means we do not yet hold information we can corroborate. It does not mean the answer is nothing. We would rather leave a gap visible than fill it with a guess.

Confidence is our own rating of how well an assessment holds up. High means several independent sources agree. Moderate means partial corroboration, or one strong source. Low means a single or early indication we are still testing.

Loading the record.

Outlook

Where this appears to be heading

This section is our judgement, not reported fact. It is reasoned from the sources above and offered so that people planning around this situation have something to plan against. We label how likely we think each one is, and we revise them as the picture changes.

What the current picture points to

Our reading, with a likelihood on each.

What the evidence says works against it

Drawn from the source literature, not an endorsement of any operation.

How we work

Where this comes from, and what we do before publishing it

Our information comes from people and from open sources, and it only goes on this page once it has held up to checking. We follow patterns rather than individuals, and we protect the people who talk to us.

Where it comes from

People first, public reporting alongside.

Our own awareness on the ground

We keep a quiet, first-hand sense of conditions in the places we cover. It is deliberately modest in scope. It is also the part we trust most, because we know how it was gathered.

Public reporting to test it against

UN bodies, humanitarian agencies and established media give us something to check our own picture against. Where they disagree with what we hold, we say so rather than pick a side quietly.

People who know their own neighbourhoods

Pastors, teachers, nurses, shopkeepers, neighbourhood committees and aid workers understand local conditions without being part of what they describe.

Ways to reach us safely

Anonymous channels, encrypted forms and trusted intermediaries, so that telling us something does not put anyone at risk.

What we do before publishing

One report is never enough on its own.

We corroborate

A single account stays unconfirmed until something independent supports it: another source, public reporting, imagery where it applies, or an official statement.

We protect sources

Few people know who a source is, we do not collect personal detail we do not need, and we are straight with people about what their information will be used for.

We follow patterns, not people

Road closures, displacement, extortion trends and shifts in local conditions tell us more than trying to name insiders, and they put nobody in danger.

We say how sure we are

Every entry carries a confidence rating and a review date. If we cannot support a field, it stays marked as not established.

Editor sign in

Sign in with the InterAmitica editor account, the same one used on Reads and Publications. Everything on this page is edited from here.

Password

Haiti deserves to be counted properly.

Thank you.